Comment on “The Social Protection System in Ageing China”

Published date01 July 2015
DOIhttp://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12104
Date01 July 2015
AuthorYiping Huang
Comment on “The Social Protection System
in Ageing China”
Yiping HUANG†
Peking University
JEL codes: J26, H53, H55
China used to have a state- or enterprise-sponsored social protection system under the
central planning regime. By the mid-1990s, however, it became increasingly clear that
such an approach was no longer sustainable. Many enterprises had more retirees than
current employees on their payrolls. This situation deteriorated further as tens of mil-
lions of workers were laid off in the late 1990s. The government then decided to establish
a new, more sustainable social protection system.
The central idea of the new social protection system is to make it self-sustaining
through savings by employees, enterprises, and the government. The old approach of
social protection made no prior saving, as all social burdens were covered by current
revenue. In addition, the old system discriminated against rural residents.
Cai and Du (2015) offer a very informative review of the evolution of social protec-
tion in China, particularly its progress and challenges. The new social protection system
consists of three pillars – pensions, medical care, and social assistance. Perhaps the most
impressive progress is that all these protection measures reach a substantial proportion
of rural residents.
But the evolving new social protection system still faces serious challenges on a
number of fronts. The biggest challenge is the ageing of the Chinese population. In 2013,
people aged 60 or more already accounted for 14.9% of the total population. This may
rise to 16% in 2020.
The second challenge is the funding problem. For instance, in 2013, about 322
million urban residents participated in the urban worker basic pension program, which
was started in 1997, with about 80 million retirees, or roughly one quarter of the total,
already having started to receive benefits from the program. Incoming revenues are
simply not sufficient to cover payouts by the program.
The third challenge is the rural–urban divide of social protection. Protection for
rural residents is still much less than that for urban residents, which also creates difficul-
ties for the new wave of urbanization. The household registration system is now a major
obstacle for urbanization. Removal of the rural–urban divide, however, could have sig-
nificant fiscal implications.
Cai and Du (2015) correctly argue that, with comprehensive coverage, China needs
to improve the social protection system to deal with rapid ageing and the integration of
†Correspondence: Yiping Huang, 5Yiheyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100871, China. Email:
yhuang@nsd.pku.edu.cn
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doi: 10.1111/aepr.12104 Asian Economic Policy Review (2015) 10, 271–272
© 2015 Japan Center for Economic Research 271

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