The Causal Mechanism Theory of Legal Causation
| Published date | 01 March 2021 |
| Author | Peter Bach‐y‐Rita |
| Date | 01 March 2021 |
| DOI | http://doi.org/10.1111/raju.12305 |
© (2021) John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Ratio Juris. Vol. 34 No. 1 March 2021 (57–73)
The Causal Mechanism Theory
of Legal Causation
PETER BACH- Y- RITA
Abstract. Theories of legal causation that identify the concept with probability- raising generate
false positives where the defendant’s conduct raises the probability of harm but brings about
that harm in the wrong kind of way. Moreover, what the law seeks to deter is not conduct that
raises the probability of harm, but rather conduct that is dangerous. A legal or proximate cause
is one that harms the plaintiff through the causal mechanism that sustains the lawful generaliza-
tion that the defendant’s conduct was dangerous.
1. Introduction
The causal mechanism theory is a theory about the meaning of ordinary causal
ascriptions: It says that statements of the form “A was the cause of B” imply the
existence and operation of a law- governed causal process connecting A and B. For
example, to say that smoking was “the cause” of a victim’s death is to say that there is
a potentially repeating law- governed process through which smoking causes death,
and, furthermore, that smoking led to the victim’s death through that particular pro-
cess. (In the case of smoking, we know a causal mechanism exists because it is heav-
ily studied by medical researchers and it explains the morbidity of smoking.) The
causal mechanism theory is a live and vigorously debated theory within the fields
of philosophy, psychology and cognitive science (e.g., Ahn and Kalish 2000, 199– 201;
Fugelsang and Thompson 2003, 800– 2; Glennan 1996, 49– 71; Strevens 2007). In the
psychology literature, it is typically distinguished from the “covariation” or “regu-
larity” theory, which says that subjects make causal ascriptions when cause and effect
are of types systematically seen in temporal succession, regardless of any connecting
causal process.
Carrying over the causal mechanism theory into the law has both normative and
empirical motivations. The causal mechanism theory is already widely accepted
as a theory about the meaning of ordinary causal ascriptions, making it at the very
least plausible as a theory about the actual meaning of causal language in the law.
Moreover, the purpose of this article is to show that the causal mechanism theory
is the only theory of legal causation compatible with the optimal liability rule in
a decentralized tort system. If that is correct, then the causal mechanism theory is
unique in being both descriptively adequate and welfare- optimal. And for this rea-
son, I believe that the causal mechanism theory of legal causation is quite likely to
be true.
Peter Bach-y-Rita
58
Ratio Juris, Vol. 34, No. 1© (2021) John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
While the primary goal of this article is to defend the causal mechanism theory as
a theory about the meaning of causal language in the law, a secondary goal is to bring
about a partial reconciliation between supposedly competing academic theories of
liability. Theories of law and economics are often characterized as giving central im-
portance to the role of optimal deterrence while depreciating the role of causation,
while theories of corrective justice place greater emphasis on compensating victims
whose injuries are caused by a defendant’s wrongful conduct, whether or not the
cost thereby imposed is optimal from the standpoint of efficiency and welfare max-
imization. This article takes seriously the assumptions of both schools of thought. I
assume that optimal deterrence is an important goal of the tort system, and also that
tort liability must be coupled with causal responsibility for the victim’s injury— two
plausible assumptions that, when taken together, provide two pillars of support for
the causal mechanism theory of legal causation.
2. Dangerousness in the Tort System
A basic tenet of the tort system is that we should not deter conduct unless it is dan-
gerous. This idea is imbedded in the very concept of negligence, which could be
thought of as unreasonable inattentiveness to the possibility that one’s actions will
expose others to danger. It is reflected in the “scope of the risk rule,” which requires
the plaintiff’s injury to “arise from the risk of danger created by” the defendant’s
negligence.1 Discussing the role of luck in the law, Arthur Ripstein (2008, 61– 76) has
argued that “the basis for [negligence] liability is the dangerousness of [the tortfea-
sor’s] conduct, not its defective moral character.” Similarly, strict liability is reserved
for categories of conduct that are dangerous by their very nature, including “inher-
ently dangerous” conduct,2 the sale of “unreasonably dangerous” products,3 and the
keeping of animals with “dangerous propensities.”4
One goal of the tort system, among competing priorities, is to deter conduct that
is dangerous (recognizing that this is not necessarily best achieved by sanctioning
all instances of dangerous conduct). Moreover, the tort system should, and to a large
extent does, deter conduct precisely to the extent that it is dangerous. This further
claim is supported by the basic structure of the tort system, which imposes deterrent
cost only when tortious conduct actually causes some injury, and then, by attaching
a deterrent cost equal to the victim’s injury. As a result, over time, the total deterrent
cost imposed on tortfeasors should emerge as a quantitative measure of the danger
of all negligent acts— subject to the fact that the actual amount of tort damage that
actually occurs over time is a function of both the dangerousness of tortious conduct
and how lucky or unlucky victims and potential tortfeasors turn out to be. Moreover,
from an ex ante standpoint, the expected deterrent cost imposed on any given act of
tortious conduct is equal to the total expected damage proximately caused by the act.
If the goal is for the tort system to attach a cost to tortious conduct that approaches
a true quantitative measure of its dangerousness, then a pressing problem for the
tort system is to avoid imposing deterrent cost when the plaintiff’s injury does not
1 Great Lakes Docks & Dredge Co. LLC v. Louisiana, 624 F.3d 201, 213 (5th Cir. 2012).
2 Majestic Realty Associates, Inc. v. Toti Contracting Co., 153 A.2d 321 (1959).
3 Restatement 2d Torts § 402A (1965).
4 Restatement 2d Torts § 509 (1965).
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