Experts predict slow economic growth in 1991.

• Position: World economy forecast from the Expert Group on Short- and Medium-Term Projections of the World Economy

The world economy is expected to grow slowly in 1991, with the level of per capita output falling for the second year in a row, according to economic forecasting experts from 40 countries and regional centres attending a two-day meeting (6-8 March, New York). The Expert Group on Short- and Medium-Term Projections of the World Economy -- known as "Project LINK" -- said the temporary surge in oil prices during the Gulf crisis, the disruption of trade, and curtailment of worker remittances reinforced recessionary tendencies in many parts of an already weakening world economy.

The experts combined their analysis of recent economic developments in their own countries with UN forecasts, using the econometric world model of Project LINK, in association with economists from the Universities of Pennsylvania and Toronto.

The Group...