Economic Prospects Good; Globalization Offers Opportunities, Poses Challenges

IMF SurveyNbr. 26-9, May 1997Summary

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Structural Reform Is Vital for Advanced Economies. Developing Countries Show Divergent Growth Patterns. Contrasts in Performance of Transition Economies. Globalization a Source of Growth.

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Economic Prospects Good; Globalization Offers Opportunities, Poses Challenges

Worldwide economic growth took off in 1996, according to the May 1997 World Economic Outlook-the IMF's biannual survey of economic developments, policies, and prospects among its member countries. Moreover, economic and financial conditions favor a continuation of the global expansion in 1997 and into the medium term. Few signs of the tensions and imbalances that fore-shadow downturns in business cycles are evident; global inflation remains subdued, with commitments to price stability stronger than at any time in the past 30 years; fiscal balances are being decisively reduced in many countries; and exchange rates among major currencies are consistent with broader policy objectives.

World output growth is expected to rise to about 4 1/2 percent, in 1997, from 4 percent in 1996, and to remain at this rate in 1998, reflecting expansion in advanced, developing, and transition economies. Inflation remained subdued during 1996 in the a...

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